The 2028 Democratic primary will be a crowded, multi-front battle with no singular frontrunner. Gavin Newsom is the current statistical leader and top contender, closely followed by Kamala Harris, who maintains strong grassroots support. Other high-probability candidates poised to challenge them include Pete Buttigieg, Josh Shapiro, and Gretchen Whitmer.
Prediction #D65108BA
Completed
Who is going to run as president in the 2028 election as a democrat?
Confidence
Medium
Model's confidence in this forecast
Probability
60%
The Question
"Who is going to run as president in the 2028 election as a democrat?"
The Forecast
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