Public Predictions

Browse the community forecast feed.

Every public prediction here was generated by our AI model swarm — researched, evaluated, and critiqued before it landed on the page. Search a topic, dive into the reasoning, and weigh in with the community.

74 public predictions
100M AI model swarm per forecast
future questions to ask
Showing 13–24 of 74
Confidence medium 65

"How many months ahead of the rest of the world will the US be in the following AI benchmarks on January 1, 2027?"

The US Expected to Lead AI Benchmarks by 4 Months on January 1, 2027 (65% Probability)As the global race for artificial intelligence advances rapidly, the United States is projected to maintain a lead in key AI benchmarks by approximately four months over the rest of the world as of January 1, 2027. This forecast reflects the dynamic interplay of intense inv
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Confidence medium 68

"Will the richest person in the world in 2036 have a net worth equivalent to or greater than 2% of the United States' GDP at the time?"

The Richest Person in 2036 Likely to Surpass 2% of US GDP: A 68% Probability ForecastThe prospect that the richest individual in the world by 2036 will hold a net worth equal to or greater than 2% of the United States' GDP is a significant subject of economic and societal interest. A comprehensive analysis forecasts this scenario with a 68% probability and m
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Advanced Confidence medium 0

"Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in person before October 1, 2026?"

Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin Will Not Meet In Person Before October 1, 2026: 75% Probability

The geopolitical landscape of mid-2026 is characterized by a paradoxical environment. While there has been a visible thaw in US-Russia relations—evidenced by the restoration of diplomatic ties in Riyadh and a fragile three-day ceasefire in Ukraine starting May 9,
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Confidence Medium 45

"Where and by when will the first truly nuclear war begin?"

Indo-Pacific Nuclear Exchange Forecasted with 45% Probability

The global nuclear landscape has entered what is being described as the 'Third Nuclear Age,' a period defined by a fundamental restructuring of how nuclear weapons are deployed and perceived. Moving away from the predictable bipolar standoff of the Cold War, the current era is characterized by a
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Confidence high 5

"By what year will more than 50% of U.S. workers report losing their jobs due to AI?"

More Than 50% of U.S. Workers Will Not Lose Jobs to AI by 2076: 5% Probability

The question of whether artificial intelligence will trigger a mass displacement of the American workforce is a central concern in modern economics. Specifically, many wonder when more than 50% of U.S. workers might report losing their jobs due to AI-related automation. Based on
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Advanced Confidence medium 55

"When will Gross World Product exceed 1 quadrillion USD?"

The Prediction That Gross World Product Will Exceed $1 Quadrillion by 2105 with 55% Probability

The global economy is on track to reach the monumental milestone of $1 quadrillion in Gross World Product (GWP) around the year 2105, according to a thorough analysis synthesizing international economic projections. This forecast reflects a convergence of fac

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Advanced Confidence high 65

"When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?"

The Road to Unified Intelligence: Predicting the Arrival of the First True General AI by 2032 with 65% Probability

The pursuit of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) remains one of the most ambitious goals in technology. According to a recent in-depth forecast analyzing current advancements across multiple critical domains, the first unified general A

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Confidence high 85

"When will 100 people or more be in space, or on any astronomical body other than earth, simultaneously?"

Prediction: 100 People in Space Simultaneously by 2048 with 85% Probability

The milestone of having 100 or more people in space or on other celestial bodies simultaneously signals a significant shift from sporadic visits to permanent habitation beyond Earth. Current space habitats, such as the International Space Station (ISS), and upcoming commercial mod

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Confidence high 65

"When will the Chinese-built Comac C929 wide-body aircraft enter commercial operations?"

COMAC C929 Wide-Body Aircraft Set for Commercial Operations by 2035 with 65% Probability

The COMAC C929, China’s ambitious wide-body aircraft project, is projected to commence commercial operations by the year 2035, according to industry analyses assigning a 65% probability to this timeline. This forecast reflects the complex development and regulatory

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Confidence medium 65

"Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before 2030?"

Prediction: Azerbaijan Unlikely to Invade Armenia Before 2030 with 65% Probability

The geopolitical tension between Azerbaijan and Armenia continues to be a pivotal concern in the South Caucasus region. However, recent analyses suggest that a full-scale Azerbaijani invasion of Armenian sovereign territory before the year 2030 is unlikely, with a predicted

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Advanced Confidence high 85

"Will the many-worlds interpretation be proven by 2050?"

Why the Many-Worlds Interpretation Will Likely Remain Unproven by 2050 (Probability: 85%)

The Many-Worlds Interpretation (MWI) of quantum mechanics envisions a vast multiverse where every quantum event spawns branching realities. This interpretation elegantly avoids the wavefunction collapse by asserting that all possible outcomes occur in separate, coe

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Confidence high 85

"When will robots win a game of association football (soccer) against professional human players?"

Robots to Defeat Professional Human Soccer Players by 2044 with 85% Probability

The landscape of professional soccer is on the cusp of a revolutionary transformation as autonomous humanoid robots are predicted to defeat professional human teams in a standard association football match by the year 2044. This bold forecast, supported by extensive research

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