Public Predictions

Browse the community forecast feed.

Every public prediction here was generated by our AI model swarm — researched, evaluated, and critiqued before it landed on the page. Search a topic, dive into the reasoning, and weigh in with the community.

74 public predictions
100M AI model swarm per forecast
future questions to ask
Showing 25–36 of 74
Advanced Confidence High 75

"Will the United States attack Cuba before 2027?"

The United States Will Not Attack Cuba Before 2027: 75% Probability\n\nAs of May 2026, the geopolitical atmosphere in the Caribbean has reached a significant boiling point. The relationship between Washington and Havana has shifted from mere diplomatic frostiness into a phase of active hostility. Under the Trump administration, the Cuban government has b

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Advanced Confidence high 72

"Will the US government take control of any US AI company or project before 2029?"

US Government Control of AI Projects: 72% Probability

As the geopolitical struggle for artificial intelligence supremacy intensifies between the United States and China, the legal and political frameworks for direct government intervention are rapidly maturing. There is a 72% probability that the US government will exercise exclusive operational con

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Confidence High 100

"Will the U.S. Supreme Court's decision in Louisiana v. Callais hold that race-conscious districting is unconstitutional?"

Supreme Court Rules Race-Conscious Districting is Unconstitutional in Louisiana v. Callais (100%)

The United States Supreme Court has issued a landmark 6–3 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, determining that the state's congressional redistricting map, known as SB8, constituted an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. This decision marks a significant shi

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Confidence Medium-High 78

"If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, will the US control Tehran within one year?"

US Failure to Capture Tehran Within One Year: 78% Probability

An analysis of potential military hostilities suggests that if an American Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF) or a declaration of war against Iran is issued before 2030, the United States military will likely fail to achieve operational control over Tehran within a twelve-month pe

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Advanced Confidence High 72

"Labour Party leadership election before 2027?"

Will a Labour Party Leadership Election Occur Before 2027? (72% Probability)

Following a catastrophic series of electoral setbacks, the Labour Party is facing intense internal volatility that suggests a leadership contest may be imminent. Driven by historic losses in the May 2026 local elections and plummeting approval ratings for Prime Minister Keir St

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Confidence High 65

"Will candidate Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?"

Vivek Ramaswamy Predicted to Win the 2026 Ohio Gubernatorial Election with 65% Probability

The race for the Ohio Governor's mansion has crystallized into a high-stakes battle between two distinct political archetypes. On one side, Republican Vivek Ramaswamy has demonstrated an almost unprecedented ability to consolidate his party's base. On the other, D

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Confidence high 15

"Before August 1, 2026, will the government of Alberta officially announce a date for an independence referendum?"

Alberta Government Official Independence Referendum Date Announcement: 15% Probability

The political landscape in Alberta is currently navigating a period of intense mobilization following the submission of over 301,000 signatures by the 'Stay Free Alberta' group on May 4, 2026. This massive surge in separatist momentum was intended to trigger an indepe

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Confidence High 78

"Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2040?"

WHO to Declare Non-H5N1 Pandemic Before 2040: 78% Probability

The Shifting Landscape of Biological Risk

As global interconnectedness accelerates and environmental boundaries blur, the planet's biological risk profile is shifting toward a state of permanent volatility. While H5N1 avian influenza remains a high-priority concern for health authorities,

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Confidence high 72

"What company is most likely to reach a $10 trillion dollar valuation first?"

NVIDIA to Become the First $10 Trillion Company: 72% Probability

As of May 2026, the race to achieve a unprecedented $10 trillion market capitalization is intensifying. Based on current market trajectories and infrastructure demand, NVIDIA stands as the most probable frontrunner to reach this milestone first. Having already become the world's larg

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Confidence High 90

"Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before September 1, 2026?"

Prediction: A Successful Coup Will Occur in Africa or Latin America Before September 1, 2026 (90% Probability)

The geopolitical landscape of mid-2026 is characterized by extreme volatility and profound institutional shocks across two continents. Based on current indicators of instability, active military plots, and historical precedents, there is a high

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Confidence High 75

"Will there be archaeological discoveries demonstrating equal or greater architectural advancement to the monuments at Göbekli Tepe, dating from before 11,000 BC by 2043?"

Archaeological Discoveries Will Match or Surpass Göbekli Tepe's Sophistication by 2043: 75% Probability

For decades, the monumental architecture of Göbekli Tepe has served as the primary benchmark for human social complexity dating from before 11,000 BC. Located in southeastern Anatolia, this site features massive T-shaped limestone pillars and delibera

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Confidence high 68

"Will the S&P 500 hit 10,000 points by the end of the decade?"

S&P 500 to Exceed 10,000 Points by Year-End 2029: 68% Probability

As of May 2026, the S&P 500 has reached a historic high of approximately 7,400, driven largely by mega-cap tech dominance and an unprecedented surge in AI-driven earnings. While some market participants express concern regarding elevated P/E ratios, the mathematical path toward the 10,000

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