Public Predictions

Browse the community forecast feed.

Every public prediction here was generated by our AI model swarm — researched, evaluated, and critiqued before it landed on the page. Search a topic, dive into the reasoning, and weigh in with the community.

91 public predictions
100M AI model swarm per forecast
future questions to ask
Showing 49–60 of 91
Confidence High 78

"Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2040?"

WHO to Declare Non-H5N1 Pandemic Before 2040: 78% Probability

The Shifting Landscape of Biological Risk

As global interconnectedness accelerates and environmental boundaries blur, the planet's biological risk profile is shifting toward a state of permanent volatility. While H5N1 avian influenza remains a high-priority concern for health authorities,

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Confidence high 72

"What company is most likely to reach a $10 trillion dollar valuation first?"

NVIDIA to Become the First $10 Trillion Company: 72% Probability

As of May 2026, the race to achieve a unprecedented $10 trillion market capitalization is intensifying. Based on current market trajectories and infrastructure demand, NVIDIA stands as the most probable frontrunner to reach this milestone first. Having already become the world's larg

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Confidence High 90

"Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before September 1, 2026?"

Prediction: A Successful Coup Will Occur in Africa or Latin America Before September 1, 2026 (90% Probability)

The geopolitical landscape of mid-2026 is characterized by extreme volatility and profound institutional shocks across two continents. Based on current indicators of instability, active military plots, and historical precedents, there is a high

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Confidence High 75

"Will there be archaeological discoveries demonstrating equal or greater architectural advancement to the monuments at Göbekli Tepe, dating from before 11,000 BC by 2043?"

Archaeological Discoveries Will Match or Surpass Göbekli Tepe's Sophistication by 2043: 75% Probability

For decades, the monumental architecture of Göbekli Tepe has served as the primary benchmark for human social complexity dating from before 11,000 BC. Located in southeastern Anatolia, this site features massive T-shaped limestone pillars and delibera

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Confidence high 68

"Will the S&P 500 hit 10,000 points by the end of the decade?"

S&P 500 to Exceed 10,000 Points by Year-End 2029: 68% Probability

As of May 2026, the S&P 500 has reached a historic high of approximately 7,400, driven largely by mega-cap tech dominance and an unprecedented surge in AI-driven earnings. While some market participants express concern regarding elevated P/E ratios, the mathematical path toward the 10,000

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Advanced Confidence high 58

"Who will be the Israeli Prime Minister following the election for the 26th Knesset?"

Benjamin Netanyahu to be the Israeli Prime Minister: 58% Probability

The political landscape of Israel is currently defined by profound volatility and structural deadlock as the country prepares for the 26th Knesset elections. This upcoming legislative battle serves as a dual referendum on Benjamin Netanyahu's leadership and the future of Israel's socia

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Advanced Confidence High 85

"When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?"

A Computer Program Will Not Be Listed as an Author in the Annals of Mathematics Before 2100 (85% Probability)

Despite the rapid evolution of mathematical reasoning through models like 'AlphaProof' and 'Gemini Deep Think', a significant barrier remains between technological capability and formal academic recognition. While AI systems are increasingly cap

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Confidence high 75

"Will Pakistan experience a civil war or government overthrow within the next 10 years?"

Pakistan Forecast: High Probability of Government Overthrow (75%) but Low Risk of Civil War

Pakistan stands at a volatile crossroads where economic desperation, religious populism, and military dominance collide. While structural fractures—ranging from an intensifying Balochistan insurgency to the rise of ISKP—are severe, the institutional capacity of t

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Confidence medium 75

"Will Israel conduct a ground invasion of Iran before 2027?"

Israel Will Not Conduct a Full-Scale Ground Invasion of Iran Before 2027 (75% Probability)

Despite the intense kinetic warfare following the February 2026 air strikes and the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the likelihood of a sustained Israeli ground invasion of Iranian territory before the end of 2026 remains low. While the regional la

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Confidence high 65

"When will China first successfully land people on Mars?"

China to Achieve First Crewed Mars Landing by 2045 (65% Probability)

China is aggressively positioning itself as a dominant force in deep space exploration, following a logical progression of lunar and robotic Martian milestones. While official roadmaps often suggest crewed orbital missions around the year 2050, rapid developments in hardware indicate a

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Confidence high 100

"When will any country completely ban civilian tobacco consumption/smoking?"

The First Total Civilian Tobacco Ban Will Occur in 2048 (Probability: 100%)

The global approach to nicotine regulation is undergoing a fundamental transformation, shifting from simple taxation toward total elimination strategies. While many nations are currently adopting 'generational bans'—policies that target specific birth years to phase out smoking

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Confidence high 35

"Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?"

Spain to Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a 35% Probability

As the international football community prepares for the expanded 48-team tournament, all analytical indicators point toward one dominant force. While heavyweights such as France and Argentina enter the fray with significant momentum, current market data and recent continental successes suggest

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