Public Predictions

Browse the community forecast feed.

Every public prediction here was generated by our AI model swarm — researched, evaluated, and critiqued before it landed on the page. Search a topic, dive into the reasoning, and weigh in with the community.

74 public predictions
100M AI model swarm per forecast
future questions to ask
Showing 61–72 of 74
Confidence high 95%

"How many robotics companies will reach a valuation of over $100B before 2032?"

Exactly 3 Robotics Companies Will Reach a Valuation of Over $100B Before 2032

As the robotics industry transitions from niche industrial automation to a foundational pillar of the global economy, a new class of 'physical intelligence' companies is emerging. Driven by the convergence of agentic AI and advanced physical hardware, the sector is moving towa

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Confidence high 75%

"Will Russia order a general mobilization before January 1, 2027?"

Russia Will Issue a General Mobilization Order Before 2027: 75% Probability

As of May 2026, the Russian Federation faces a critical juncture characterized by unsustainable combat attrition and a failing voluntary recruitment model. Despite aggressive 'covert mobilization' tactics and significant increases in military spending, the Kremlin is struggling

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Confidence high 25%

"Will there be a large diffusion of robotics in the US household market before 2033?"

Large-Scale Diffusion of Household Robotics Will Not Occur Before 2033: 25% Probability

Despite rapid advancements in the technical capabilities of humanoid robots, a significant 'adoption gap' is preventing these machines from becoming household staples. While companies like Tesla, Figure AI, and 1X are deploying high-dexterity robots in controlled set

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Confidence high 0%

"When will Canada become a full member state of the European Union?"

Canada Will NOT Become a Member State of the European Union Within Any Foreseeable Timeframe (Near-Zero Probability)

Despite deepening economic ties and unprecedented security cooperation between Ottawa and Brussels, the likelihood of Canada becoming a full member state of the European Union remains extremely low. While recent developments like the SAFE

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Confidence high 78%

"Will another country announce they will quit OPEC or OPEC+ before September 2026?"

No Other Country Will Announce Departure From OPEC or OPEC+ Before September 2026 (78% Probability)

Despite the seismic shock of the United Arab Emirates officially exiting OPEC and OPEC+ on May 1, 2026, the alliance is entering a phase of forced cohesion rather than fragmentation. While persistent quota violators like Kazakhstan and Iraq face immense p

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Confidence high 65%

"What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q1 FY2027 earnings release?"

NVIDIA Q2 FY2027 Revenue Guidance to Hit $82 Billion – $85 Billion (65% Probability)

As NVIDIA approaches its Q1 FY2027 earnings release on May 20, 2026, the market is bracing for a significant shift in forward-looking expectations. While the company previously provided guidance of $78 billion for Q1, current dynamics suggest a substantial upward revisi

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Confidence high 75%

"Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?"

Keir Starmer Will Resign or Be Replaced Before December 31, 2026: 75% Probability

Keir Starmer's premiership is currently facing an existential crisis following a catastrophic performance in the May 2026 local elections. Driven by plummeting approval ratings and an active internal rebellion, the structural mechanisms for his removal appear to be in moti

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Confidence high 75%

"Will any national military or state-affiliated armed forces deploy at least 5,000 quadruped robots in an active conflict zone before 2031?"

Deployment of 5,000 Quadruped Robots Before 2031: 75% Probability

The landscape of modern warfare is shifting from human-centric attrition toward machine-integrated maneuver. As we analyze the trajectory of autonomous ground systems, there is a high probability that a national military or state-affiliated armed force will deploy at least 5,000 quadruped

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Confidence High 80%

"Will at least 5 non-passengers be linked to the MV hantavirus outbreak before August 2026?"

Analysis: Projected Increase in Non-Passenger Links to MV Hondius Hantavirus Outbreak

An epidemiological assessment indicates a high probability that at least five non-passengers will be officially linked to the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak before August 2026. This projection is driven by the unique biological characteristics of the Andes virus (ANDV)

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Confidence Medium 12%

"Will WHO declare hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2027?"

Despite a concerning surge in hantavirus cases across South America and a high-profile outbreak aboard the cruise ship MV Hondius, the World Health Organization (WHO) is unlikely to declare hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before January 1, 2027. While the Andes virus strain presents unique risks due to its capacity for l

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Confidence medium 5%

"Will Claude mythos becomes skynet and take over the world"

An analysis of the long-term risks posed by advanced AI systems, such as Claude or its descendants, suggests that while a global catastrophe is possible, it remains an unlikely outcome. The forecast evaluates the probability of these models attaining autonomous agency—the ability to plan and act on goals with minimal human oversight—and causing civilization-

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Confidence Medium 52%

"Will the S&P 500 SPY ticker break $735 during tomorrow's trading day?"

The market faces a critical juncture as investors look toward Friday, May 8, 2026, to see if the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) will break the $735 threshold. The question centers on whether the intraday price of SPY will exceed $735 at any point during the trading session. This comes after a period of significant movement where the S&P 500 recently hit a record hig

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